Tropical Storm Ofel 25Oct 1St Update1230Pm

[Call me bubba]

here is the latest updateof the weather that is effecting Northen Luzon at this time.

excuse the delay of not reporting earlier as i had errands to do,

Tropical Storm Son-Tinh (Ofel) has jogged to the northwest and intensified...now over Romblon...

likely to make landfall over Mindoro Oriental on or before noon today.

Its rainbands has expanded and are now covering almost the entire Philippine Islands.

Meanwhile, this system will continue to enhance the Northeast Monsoon (Amihan) and bring on-and-off rains, squalls,

thunderstorms across Extreme Northern Luzon. Winds will be moderate to strong not in excess of 45 km/hr. The sea waves along the coast will be rough and dangerous (8-12 feet).

Residents and visitors along the Visayas, Bicol Region and Southern Luzon including Metro Manila should closely monitor the development of Son-Tinh (Ofel).

CURRENT STORM ANALYSIS

As of 6 am today, the center of Tropical Storm Son-Tinh (Ofel) was located in the vicinity of Romblon and Sibuyan Islands...about 47 km southeast of the municipality of Romblon or 88 km east-northeast of Boracay...currently moving northwest with a forward speed of 17 km/hr in the general direction of Romblon-Mindoro Area.

Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) have increased to 85 km/hr near the center with higher gusts. Tropical Storm Force Winds (62-100 km/hr) extend outward up to 55 kilometers from the center. Son-Tinh (Ofel) is now a large-sized tropical cyclone with a diameter of 780 kilometers across. The 24-hour rainfall accumulation near the center of Son-Tinh (Ofel) is estimated to be heavy (200 mm).

3-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*

Tropical Storm Son-Tinh (Ofel) is expected to resume moving west-northwestward during the next 12 to 24 hours with some fluctuations in its forward speed. It will therefore maintain its track throughout the forecast period.

On the forecast track, the core of Son-Tinh (Ofel) is expected to pass very close to Romblon this morning and make landfall over Mindoro Oriental on or before noontime.

The storm will then traverse Mindoro Occidental this afternoon and emerge over the West Philippine Sea early tonight. By Friday noon, Son-Tinh (Ofel) will move out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) as it becomes a Typhoon and is forecast to make landfall over Central Vietnam on Sunday afternoon.

This storm is expected to continue intensifying once it emerges over the West Philippine Sea within the next 12 to 24 hours...and Son-Tinh (Ofel) could become a Typhoon on Friday or Saturday while over the West Philippine-South China Sea Area.

The following is the summary of the 3-day forecast outlook on this system:

FRIDAY MORNING: Moving west-northwest over the West Philippine Sea...farther away from the Philippines...becomes a Typhoon...about 323 km west of Subic Bay, Zambales [6AM OCT 26: 14.6N 117.3E @ 120kph].

SATURDAY MORNING: Gathering strength while over the South China Sea, exits the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR)...about 326 km southeast of Sanya, Hainan Island [6AM OCT 27: 16.5N 112.0E @ 140kph].

SUNDAY MORNING: Bearing down the shores of Central Vietnam...at peak forecast intensity of 150 km/hr...about 190 km north-northwest of Hue, Vietnam [6AM OCT 28: 18.2N 107.4E @ 150kph].

by linking to the link below you should have updated weather info.

http://www.pagasa.do.../tcupdate.shtml

Weather Bulletin Number ELEVEN

Tropical Cyclone Warning: Tropical Storm "OFEL" (SON-TINH)

Issued at 11:00 a.m., Thursday, 25 October 2012 Tropical Storm "OFEL" has crossed the southern part of Mindoro Island and is now moving towards the West Philippine Sea. Location of Center:

(as of 10:00 a.m.) 40 km West of Mamburao, Occidental Mindoro Coordinates: 13.1°N, 120.3°E Strength: Maximum sustained winds of 75 kph near the center

and gustiness of up to 90 kph Movement: West Northwest at 22 kph Forecast Positions/Outlook:

Friday morning:

510 km West of Metro Manila

http://www.typhoon2000.ph/update.html

storm tracking via noaa

http://www.goes.noaa...s/vsmtsatw.html

[Dave Hounddriver]

Sure glad that one's over. It knocked down lots of trees and power lines in the province where I live and the power was out for 36 hours. But I'm baaaaaack