Typhoon Bopha

[Call me bubba]

update 4dec at 7am

WEATHER.COM.PH / T2K TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

SUPER TYPHOON BOPHA (PABLO) UPDATE NUMBER 025

Issued: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Tuesday 04 Dec 2012

Next Update: 1:00 PM PhT (05:00 GMT) Tuesday 04 Dec 2012

The eye of Super Typhoon Bopha (Pablo) has made landfall over Cateel, Davao Oriental around 5 am...and is now moving across the northern part of Davao Oriental.

Important Note: Super Typhoon Bopha (Pablo) is almost three times the strength of Tropical Storm Washi (Sendong) which crossed North-Central Mindanao on December 16, 2011.

Residents and visitors along Mindanao and Visayas should closely monitor the development of Bopha (Pablo).

CURRENT STORM ANALYSIS

As of 6 am today, the eye of Super Typhoon Bopha was located over the northern part of Davao Oriental...

about 22 km west of Cateel or 56 km south of Bislig City, Surigao Del Sur...currently moving west to west-northwest with a forward speed of 19 km/hr in the general direction of Bukidnon and Misamis Oriental.

Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) have decreased to 240 km/hr near the center with higher gusts.

Typhoon Force Winds (118 km/hr or more) extend outward up to 65 kilometers from the center...and Tropical Storm Force Winds (62-117 km/hr) extend outward up to 220 kilometers.

Bopha remains a large-sized tropical cyclone with a diameter of 775 kilometers across. The 24-hour rainfall accumulation near the center of Typhoon Bopha is estimated to be extreme (400 mm).

3-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*

Super Typhoon Bopha is expected to continue moving west to west-northwest for the next 24 hours with a slight decrease in its forward speed. After 24 hours, its track will turn to the northwest...and this motion will continue throughout the forecast period

On the forecast track, the core of Bopha is expected to continue traversing along the Davao Del Norte and Agusan Del Sur Border...

and should cross Bukidnon around noon today.

Bopha is likely to move across the southern part of Misamis Oriental later this afternoon, passing in between the cities of Iligan and Cagayan De Oro before sunset today.

By Tuesday evening, the typhoon should emerge over the coast of Misamis Occidental passing very close to Dipolog City before midnight of Wednesday.

On Wednesday morning, it should be moving across the Sulu Sea, crossing Northern Palawan Wednesday evening. By Thursday and Friday, Bopha shall be over the West Philippine Sea.

CURRENT TECHNICAL INFORMATION

Time/Date: 6:00 AM PhT Tue December 04, 2012

Class/Name: STY Bopha (Pablo)

Location of Eye: 7.7� N Lat 126.3� E Lon

Distance 1: 22 km (W) from Cateel, Davao Oriental

Distance 2: 56 km (S) from Bislig City

Distance 3: 102 km (NE) from Metro Davao

Distance 4: 150 km (ESE) from Malaybalay City

Distance 5: 160 km (SSE) from Butuan City

Distance 6: 207 km (ESE) from Cagayan De Oro City

Distance 7: 238 km (ESE) from Iligan City

Distance 8: 242 km (SE) from Camiguin Island

Distance 9: 281 km (ESE) from Ozamiz City

Distance 10: 345 km (ESE) from Dipolog City

MaxWinds (1-min avg): 240 kph near the center

Peak Wind Gusts: 295 kph

Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale: Category 4

Present Movement: West @ 19 kph

Towards: Bukidnon-Misamis Oriental Area

[Call me bubba]

5 dec update

TYPHOON BOPHA (PABLO) UPDATE NUMBER 028

Issued: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Wednesday 05 Dec 2012

Next Update: 1:00 PM PhT (05:00 GMT) Wednesday 05 Dec 2012

Typhoon Bopha (Pablo) weakens as it approaches Northern Palawan...expected to pass over the area later this morning. Typhoon Conditions with large sea waves will occur near the path of this system.

CURRENT STORM ANALYSIS

As of 6 am today, the center of Typhoon Bopha was located over Sulu Sea...

about 146 km east-northeast of Puerto Princesa, Palawan or

48 km south-southeast of El Nido, Palawan...currently moving west-northwest with a forward speed of 28 km/hr in the general direction of Northern Palawan and West Philippine Sea.

Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) have decreased to 160 km/hr near the center with higher gusts.

Typhoon Force Winds (118 km/hr or more) extend outward up to 65 kilometers from the center...and Tropical Storm Force Winds (62-117 km/hr) extend outward up to 220 kilometers.

Bopha is an average-sized tropical cyclone with a diameter of 555 kilometers across. The 24-hour rainfall accumulation near the center of Typhoon Bopha is estimated to be exteme (450 mm).

CURRENT TECHNICAL INFORMATION

Time/Date: 6:00 AM PhT Wed December 05, 2012

Class/Name: TY Bopha (Pablo)

Location of Eye: 10.0º N Lat 120.0º E Lon

Distance 1: 146 km (ENE) from Puerto Princesa

Distance 2: 148 km (SW) from Cuyo Island

Distance 3: 148 km (SSE) from El Nido

Distance 4: 173 km (SSW) from Pamalican Island

Distance 5: 223 km (S) from Coron, Palawan

Distance 6: 284 km (WSW) from Iloilo City

Distance 7: 296 km (SW) from Boracay

Distance 8: 303 km (WSW) from Guimaras Island

Distance 9: 307 km (W) from Kabankalan

Distance 10: 324 km (WSW) from Bacolod City

MaxWinds (1-min avg): 160 kph near the center

Peak Wind Gusts: 195 kph

Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale: Category 2

Present Movement: WNW @ 28 kph

Towards: Northern Palawan

[Thomas]

It seem to have made much less damage than expected:

(I have asked people living there about their OWN situation, but of course it can be much different depend of how their homes are positioned.)

/Surigao del Sur. No big damages.

/Davao. No big problem. Have time to be much at Internet now too.

/CDO. Haven't heared from, but we don't have contact so often normaly and this family live high enough to not get damaged when it was big floods specialy there and in Iligan last spring.

/Dapitan (=Most northwest at Mindanao close to Dumaguete.) No big problem. On Internet "allways" now too.

But it's Filipin messure of "No big damage", which I suppose differ much from what we living in not typhon countries think.

[Dr. Cockroach]

I was at the Marco Polo Plaza hotel this Monday. At the pool bar, the foreigner right next to me said he was fleeing east of Cebu island until this storm passes by.

Yesterday, Tuesday, all Cebu city had was clouds, rains and wind. But then, that's what I experienced. I even went to lunch to eat but it was a short distance.No power outage or anything?

If it was bad, it must have hit the east islands coz they are wide open. Cebu itself seems to be protected by other islands.

[chachime]

Hopefully, the typhoon will not going to hit the Philippines.

[Call me bubba]

Hopefully, the typhoon will not going to hit the Philippines.

Seems that it is over.

here is the last weather issue

TROPICAL DEPRESSION BOPHA (PABLO) UPDATE NUMBER 041 [FINAL]

Issued: 12:00 NN PhT (04:00 GMT) Sunday 09 Dec 2012

Bopha (Pablo) rapidly dissipating near the coast of Ilocos Norte...just a weak Tropical Depression. Complete dissipation of this system expected within 12 to 24 hours.

This is the last and final update on Bopha (Pablo).

CURRENT STORM ANALYSIS

As of 12 noon today, the decaying center of Tropical Depression Bopha was located near the coast of Ilocos Norte...

about 139 km west of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte or 146 km northwest of Vigan City, Ilocos Sur...

currently moving very slowly northeastward with a forward speed of 4 km/hr.

Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) have rapidly decreased to 45 km/hr near the center with higher gusts. Bopha is remains a small-sized tropical cyclone with a decreased diameter of 335 kilometers across. The 24-hour rainfall accumulation near the center of TD Bopha is estimated to be moderate to heavy (100 mm).

1-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*

Tropical Depression Bopha is expected to turn southward during the next 24 hours. On the forecast track, the remnants of Bopha is expected to be just near the coast of Ilocos Sur on Monday noontime.

Bopha will continue to weaken and dissipate throughout the forecast period due to the surge of cool dry-air feeding into its circulation and increasing strong winds near the troposphere (known as Vertical Wind Shear) affecting the system.

The following is the summary of the 1-day forecast outlook on this system:

MONDAY NOON: Dissipated near the coast of Ilocos Sur...just an area of low pressure...about 108 km west-northwest of Vigan City, Ilocos Sur [12PM DEC 10: 17.8N 119.4E @ 30kph].

CURRENT TECHNICAL INFORMATION

Time/Date: 12:00 NN PhT Sun December 09, 2012

Class/Name: TD Bopha (Pablo)

Location of Center: 18.4º N Lat 119.3º E Lon

Distance 1: 139 km (W) from Laoag City

Distance 2: 146 km (NW) from Vigan City

Distance 3: 159 km (WSW) from Pagudpud, Ilocos Norte

MaxWinds (1-min avg): 45 kph near the center

Peak Wind Gusts: 65 kph

Present Movement: NE @ 04 kph

Towards: Near the Coast of Ilocos Provinces

24hr Rainfall Accum (near center): Moderate/Heavy [100 mm]

Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)

Size (in Diameter): 335 km [Average]

Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 20 feet

Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft (0 m)