Typhoon probability

Recommended Posts

Colsie
Posted
Posted

I guess we are all keeping an eye out for any bad weather that might impact our location. 

We all probably check the Windy app as it's been very useful for spotting an upcoming storm or dreaded typhoons... 

The topic of this post is to flag potential typhoons as soon as possible so that forum members can be aware and observe in the upcoming days. 

With this in mind, this weekend it looks as though northern luzon will get a storm and heavy rains this weekend. 

The following weekend it looks as though a storm is going to come through central Visayas. The intensity of which is difficult to assess this far out... 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

jimeve
Posted
Posted
29 minutes ago, Colsie said:

With this in mind, this weekend it looks as though northern luzon will get a storm and heavy rains this weekend. 

They just had one, another on it's way?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

BrettGC
Posted
Posted
2 hours ago, Colsie said:

We all probably check the Windy app as it's been very useful for spotting an upcoming storm or dreaded typhoons... 

Never heard of it, will check it out. 

2 massive storms in two days here, pressure isn't particularly low yet though, hopefully it stays that way.  

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

OnMyWay
Posted
Posted
4 hours ago, Colsie said:

We all probably check the Windy app as it's been very useful for spotting an upcoming storm or dreaded typhoons... 

I'm a faithful Windy.com user.  I don't see much of anything coming in the next week.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Colsie
Posted
Posted
2 hours ago, OnMyWay said:

I'm a faithful Windy.com user.  I don't see much of anything coming in the next week.

I'm in Eastern Samar and the Windy.com android app is showing something developing in the next 10 days... 

The forecast isn't accurate being 10days away, but as an early alert its worth keeping an eye on it over the next few days 

Screenshot_20221018_184800.jpg

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Colsie
Posted
Posted (edited)

Probability of this weather event turning into a significant typhoon has increased. 

Tempted to buy some 3/4" plywood to board up my windows and some other materials for repair...

Screenshot_20221020_093124.jpg

Edited by Colsie
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Colsie
Posted
Posted (edited)

So here we are, 9 days on from when this storm was first flagged. 

The weather forecast models are now much more accurate and looks as though we've escaped the brunt of the typhoon here in Eastern Visayas. 

The projected rainfall and typhoon path below 

 

Screenshot_20221027_143832.jpgScreenshot_20221027_143614.jpg

Edited by Colsie
  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Forum Support
Mike J
Posted
Posted
13 hours ago, Colsie said:

The projected rainfall and typhoon path below 

That is a fairly typical path for the majority of storms/typhoons that come in off the Pacific.   But as you say it pays to be alert.  Learned that lesson the hard way when I had to ride out the super typhoon here in Moalboal last December.  On a positive note, our new longspan roof with steel rafters looks very nice.  :whistling:   

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

jimeve
Posted
Posted
7 hours ago, Mike J said:

That is a fairly typical path for the majority of storms/typhoons that come in off the Pacific.   But as you say it pays to be alert.  Learned that lesson the hard way when I had to ride out the super typhoon here in Moalboal last December.  On a positive note, our new longspan roof with steel rafters looks very nice.  :whistling:   

Typhoons need warm air, from what I have observed these tropical storms come across the Philippines from October maybe early on. Now winter is around the corner, Japan is getting colder and these typhoons seek our Humid conditions. 

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Forum Support
Mike J
Posted
Posted

Luzon is getting hammered.

image.png

  • Sad 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
×
×
  • Create New...